On the Distribution of the Nearly Unstable Ar(1) Process with Heavy Tails

نویسنده

  • MARIANA OLVERA-CRAVIOTO
چکیده

We consider a nearly unstable, or near unit root, AR(1) process with regularly varying innovations. Two different approximations for the stationary distribution of such processes exist: a Gaussian approximation arising from the nearly unstable nature of the process and a heavy-tail approximation related to the tail asymptotics of the innovations. We combine these two approximations to obtain a new uniform approximation that is valid on the entire real line. As a corollary, we obtain a precise description of the regions where each of the Gaussian and heavy-tail approximations should be used.

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تاریخ انتشار 2010